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Race for the Senate

Senate Election Consensus Map

Cites 18 As Contested


By Steve Rensberry
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EDWARDSVILLE, IL - July 2, 2020 -- The latest U.S Senate Election Map produced by the site 270toWin rates four senate seats as being toss-ups in the upcoming election in November, those being seats held by Martha McSally in Arizona (R), Corey Gardner in Colorado (R), Thom Tillis in North Carolina (R), and Susan Collins in Maine (R).
Of the total 35 seats up for election, the report rates 18 as contested and 17 as “safe for the incumbent party.” This includes special elections in Arizona and Georgia.
As of June 18, the date of the report, the consensus forecast shows the Democrats with 46 seats, the Republicans with 50, with the 4 toss-ups uncalled. In other words, it's going to be very close.
The Republicans currently control 53 seats and the Democrats 47 (two are independent). “Democrats will need to gain three or four seats to take control,” the site states.
Contested races
Republican: Dan Sullivan (AK), Martha McSally (AZ), Cory Gardner (CO), Kelly Loeffler (GA), David Perdue (GA), Joni Ernst (IA), Pat Roberts, incumbent (KS), Mitch McConnell (R), Susan Collins (ME), Steve Daines (MT), Thom Tillis (NC), Lindsey Graham (SC), John Cornyn (TX).
Democrat: Doug Jones (AL), Gary Peters (MI), Tina Smith (MN), Jeanne Shaheen, Tom Udall.
Races rated safe for the incumbent party
Republican: Tom Cotton (AR), Jim Risch (ID), Bill Cassidy (LA), Cindy Hyde-Smith (MS), Ben Sasse (NE), Jim Inhofe (OK), Mike Rounds (SD), Lamar Alexander (TN), Shelley Capito (WV), Mike Enzi.
Democrat: Christopher Coons (DE), Dick Durbin (IL), Ed Markey (MA), Cory Booker (NJ), Jeff Merkley (OR), Jack Reed (RI), Mark Warner, not running in 2020 (VA).