Election 2020

Battleground States Will

Likely Tip the Scales

By Steve Rensberry

RP News

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EDWARDSVILLE - (RP NEWS) - 9/8/2020 - The infographic above, produced by statista, shows the U.S electoral map and the number of Democrat/Republican wins per state over the last decade. As noted by data journalist Felix Richter, as of Aug. 26 national polls showed the current president trailing challenger Joe Biden.

Things change fast, however, and Richter cautions against relying on poll results, as many analysts do. “As we've learned in 2016, polls only go so far in predicting the outcome of the election, and in the end, it will likely come down to who comes out victorious in a few battleground states,” Richter states. “Back in 2016, Donald Trump lost the popular vote to Hillary Clinton, but narrow wins in several swing states were enough to tip the election in his favor and win the presidency.”

Electoral map data indicates that Republican presidential candidates have won 13 states in each presidential election in the past 10 years, compared to only two that have been won by Democrats in that time, Richter notes.

The average of 10 national polls, reported by 270towin as of Sept. 6, 2020, showed Biden with 50 percent voter support to 42 percent for Trump. In the battleground state of Wisconsin, the latest poll showed Biden at 50 percent and Trump with 43 percent.